Political Science 8125: Dynamic Analysis (Time Series Modeling in Politics, Part I & II)



Course Introduction (Week 1)

Linear Difference Equations (Week 2)

Non-Linear Difference Equations (Week 3)

Box-Jenkins, Part I (Week 4)

Box-Jenkins, Part I, Additional Handouts (Week 4)

Box-Jenkins, Part II (Week 5)

Unit Roots & F.I. (Week 6)

Seasonality & Forecasting (Week 6)

Seasonality & Forecasting, Additional Handouts (Week 6)

Intervention Analysis (Week 7)

Time Series Regression -- Principles (Week 12)

Seemingly Unrelated Regression & Simultaneous Equations

Temporal Aggregation (Week 8)

Freeman, VAR notes (Week 9)

ARCH and change in Regime (Week 10)

Pevehouse, cont (Week 11)

GUEST SPEAKER: Patrick Brandt (Week 12)

Slides for talk

Readings

Dickinson and Lebo, "Reexamining the Growth of the Institutional Presidency"

De Boef and Keele, "Taking Time Seriously"

Keele and Kelly, "Dynamic Models for Dynamic Theories"


All of the above will be posted when available

Pevehouse log file, pt. I (Feb. 20)

Pevehouse log file, pt. II (Feb. 20)